South African football analytics

Football picks with a public memory.

Daily over/under 1.5 analysis backed by market probabilities and team statistics. Every selection is timestamped, every result stays visible, and weak days are never padded.

18+ only. Analysis is not a guarantee of profit.

The record, in one place

A ticket is every selection in one list published on one day, played as a slip — it only wins if every leg in it wins. Team win rate is the plain hit rate across individual selections. We show both, for the 1.5-line official list and the Under 5.5 safety net, because they tell different stories.

Official
Ticket win rate——/— tickets
Team win rate——/— picks
Safety net
Ticket win rate——/— tickets
Team win rate——/— picks

Figures below are official-tier picks only — see the Official and Safety net cards above for each list's own ticket and team win rates.

Unit-stake ROI—
Average odds—
Maximum drawdown—
Official selections—

How it works

1

We scan eligible fixtures

South African and international football fixtures, excluding eSoccer, virtuals and in-play markets.

2

We compare probability with statistics

Margin-free bookmaker probability is weighed against each team's own over/under 1.5 history.

3

Only qualifying selections publish

Combined confidence must clear 80% (or 90% for an Under 5.5 safety-net pick) to publish at all — otherwise, it's a valid no-bet day.

What a daily report looks like

Demo report — illustrative, not a live pick

Official picks — combined confidence above 80%

OfficialPending

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC

South African Premiership · Kickoff 19:00 SAST

SelectionOver 1.5
Decimal odds1.22
Odds-implied probability76.6%
Statistics confidence93%
Combined confidence84.8%

Sundowns have scored two or more in eleven of their last twelve home league fixtures.

Under 5.5 safety net — combined confidence above 90%

Safety netWon

Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

Eredivisie · Kickoff 21:00 SAST

SelectionUnder 5.5
Decimal odds1.09
Odds-implied probability91.2%
Statistics confidence96%
Combined confidence93.6%

A different, much safer market from the 1.5-line picks above — six or more combined goals is rare in almost any match, so this list carries its own stricter 90% floor rather than the main 80%.

We publish the losses too.

  • Results are never deleted, win or lose.
  • Odds are timestamped at the moment they're captured.
  • No-bet days are valid — some days nothing clears the floor.
  • Hit rate, ROI and drawdown are all displayed on the results page.
  • Confidence is an estimate, not a guarantee.

GoalLine Ledger Membership

R155/month

7-day free trial, no card required

  • Daily official report
  • Under 5.5 safety-net picks
  • Morning report + evening/Americas updates when available
  • Email alerts
  • Full results archive
  • Methodology and reasoning
  • Cancel anytime
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